Many international organizations have forecast robust economic recovery for Vietnam in 2021.
Workers examine electronic components at the factory of the Young Poong Electronics VINA Co. Ltd in Binh Xuyen II Industrial Park, Vinh Phuc province (Photo: VNA) Many international organizations
have forecast robust economic recovery for Vietnam in 2021.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Vietnam’s economy to grow 6.5 percent in
2021 despite some economic scarring.
In its
2020 Article IV Consultation report with Vietnam, the IMF said the country’s growth is projected to strengthen to 6.5
percent, as normalisation of economic activity continues, businesses recover,
and private consumption and business investment rebound.
Per the report, manufacturing
and retail sales are expected to lead the recovery, while the travel and
hospitality services will remain subdued. Net exports will continue to contribute
positively to growth as external demand picks up.
Economic scarring
due to disruptions to domestic activity and the labour market will temporarily
weigh on potential growth as labour re-allocation gradually takes place, and
capital stays idle in the hardest-hit sectors.
The Standard
Chartered Bank has forecast Vietnam’s economy will grow at 7.8 percent this
year with manufacturing driving the revival.
Meanwhile, a preliminary
assessment by the ASEAN 3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) said the
nation’s GDP growth will rebound to 7 percent this year, driven by a recovery
in external demand, a resilient domestic economy, and increased production
capacity.
Market researcher Fitch Solutions expects that Vietnam’s
economy will grow 6.5 percent each year over the course of the next 10 years as
the Government diversifies export markets and improves infrastructure./.