Vietnam’s economy will grow 6.5 percent each year over the course of the next 10 years as the Government diversifies export markets and improves infrastructure, according to market researchers Fitch Solutions.
Vietnam imports hi-tech machinery to serve production (Photo: VNA)
- Vietnam’s economy will grow 6.5 percent each year over
the course of the next 10 years as the Government diversifies export markets
and improves infrastructure, according to market researcher Fitch Solutions.
Although its forecast is lower than the Government’s 6.5-7 percent growth
target for the 2021-2025 period, Fitch said newly-signed free trade agreements
will help the country expand market access while avoiding any overdependence on
a single trade partner.
Vietnam plans to prioritise the importation of machinery and high-tech
equipment, it went on, adding that this requires an increase in skill levels,
which may only improve slowly over the next decade.
Regarding infrastructure development, Vietnam plans to complete the eastern
cluster of the North-South Expressway, the first phase of Long Thanh
International Airport, and over 1,700 km of coastal roads from the northern
province of Quang Ninh to the southernmost province of Ca Mau.
Its targets posting a budget deficit of 3.7 percent of GDP, with public debt at
47.5 percent of GDP in the next five years - less than the 65 percent limit.
Fitch believes this is feasible given the country’s economic potential.
Due to the impact of COVID-19, Vietnam’s GDP grew 2.9 percent last year but it
was one of only a few countries to post positive growth, which was higher than
China’s 2.3 percent.
Meanwhile, economists from the Bank of America forecast economic growth of 9.3
percent for Vietnam in 2021 - substantially higher than the 6.8 percent projected by the